4 State Race

The Race for the Presidency has come down to a final four states...nevermind what some of the national pollsters say about 15 states that are up for grabs. With three weeks to go before Nov. 2 it is obvious it has come down to this:

1. Florida - Big Surprise Right? Florida truly is a tossup state. Zogby shows Kerry up, Gallup shows Bush up. Kerry's internal polling shows a win for them. Bush's internal polling shows a win for them. Prediction: Who Knows?

2. Wisconsin - This blue state in 2000 is a possible steal for the GOP. Again Zogby shows Kerry us, Gallup shows Bush up. Prediction: Kerry will take it, barely.

3. Nevada - It really is surprising that Kerry is doing so well with some polls showing him up. Dems have to be happy this state is moving their direction in historical terms. Prediction: Bush will take it, barely.

4. Ohio - Another tossup. Lackless job numbers and Bush's poor debate performance are pushing Kerry into the lead. Ohio natives are generally conservative on social matters like abortion so that helps the GOP. Prediction: The state moves blue. Kerry.

The only other state that is worth mentioning is Colorado which is truly a tossup. However, on the ballot this year will be an initiative to give their electoral votes proportionally to the candidates. Polling shows conflicting opinions, but it is likely to pass giving one candidate 5 EV's and the other 4 EV's. Therefore, Colorado is not on the list of the 4 most influential states.

Other pundits claim these states are up for grabs (I doubt it):

Kerry- Penn, NJ, Maine, NH, Iowa
Bush - AR, MO, VA