Election Day is Almost Here
It is hard to believe this is coming to an end. The polls, the commentary, the 65 hour work weeks, and the late night conversations of Caey screaming about the latest numbers in Hawaii. Nobody could have imagained the most watched election with over 1000 polls in the past month would still leave the race deadlocked. I have knocked on over 6,000 doors in the past months and I can tell you that we will have a clear winner on election night, and most importantly I will have my first day off on Sat. in over a month.
Casey, I could not pull up your excel sheet, but I can figure out which way you went on most of the states by your count. Anybody who has been on the ground day after day can tell you that Florida is going for Kerry this year (especially precincts 965 and 968 where I am camped out..lol). I was at a rally yesterday of 15,000 people at 11:00 on a Sunday night. People are energized and ready to vote blue this year (and many already have). You already know my electoral prediction....311...in less something were to happen in Colorado or Nevada. (Check out electoral-vote today..it finally looks like my prediction)
Senate..my final prediction 50-50..I think the DSCC is a little optimistic..but they have to be, it is their job. Alaska, Colorado, Illinois, and Florida, and SD are in the bag. I think some serious ground work in NC will squeak out a win tomorrow. I don't think it is going to happen in Ok (Carson has lost ground, Kentucky (despite the fact that the Rep. thinks we were attacked on Nov. 11), or SC (will lose by about 4 points). Finally LA which will indeed go to a runoff where the Democrat will win. It looks like Edwards will have a real job, breaking ties in the Senate.
By the way I think Kerry may win the popular vote by at least a full precentage point.
Casey, I could not pull up your excel sheet, but I can figure out which way you went on most of the states by your count. Anybody who has been on the ground day after day can tell you that Florida is going for Kerry this year (especially precincts 965 and 968 where I am camped out..lol). I was at a rally yesterday of 15,000 people at 11:00 on a Sunday night. People are energized and ready to vote blue this year (and many already have). You already know my electoral prediction....311...in less something were to happen in Colorado or Nevada. (Check out electoral-vote today..it finally looks like my prediction)
Senate..my final prediction 50-50..I think the DSCC is a little optimistic..but they have to be, it is their job. Alaska, Colorado, Illinois, and Florida, and SD are in the bag. I think some serious ground work in NC will squeak out a win tomorrow. I don't think it is going to happen in Ok (Carson has lost ground, Kentucky (despite the fact that the Rep. thinks we were attacked on Nov. 11), or SC (will lose by about 4 points). Finally LA which will indeed go to a runoff where the Democrat will win. It looks like Edwards will have a real job, breaking ties in the Senate.
By the way I think Kerry may win the popular vote by at least a full precentage point.

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